Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro Enter Final Debate With Brazil Race Tight
Brazil votes on October 25, with polls showing a close presidential contest as Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro prepare for their last televised debate amid economic and corruption concerns.
By Hushread Stories, from 12 outlets · First published 23 Oct 2026
In brief
- President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva faces Senator Flávio Bolsonaro in Brazil's presidential runoff on October 25.
- A Thursday Datafolha poll showed a tie, while another reported survey put Bolsonaro ahead by one point.
- Separate Datafolha findings put approval of Lula's government at 49 percent and disapproval at 48 percent.
- Economic frustration, corruption concerns and political polarization are shaping voter choices ahead of the presidential runoff.
- The candidates will meet in their final televised debate on Friday, two days before the vote.
Timeline · 5 moments
Final televised debate scheduled two days before runoff
Perfil.com ↗Campaigns reach their final free radio advertising slots
CNN Brasil ↗Economic frustration and corruption concerns shape voter choices
CBC Top Stories ↗Thursday Datafolha tie gives Lula campaign a boost
Bloomberg ↗Coverage reports nearly even approval of Lula's government
CNN Brasil ↗How it started
Brazil's presidential runoff pits President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva against Senator Flávio Bolsonaro, with voting set for Sunday, October 25. Infobae reported that the two would hold their final televised debate on Friday.
The contest brings together concerns about political leadership and household finances. CBC Top Stories reported that frustration over corruption and feelings of personal financial stagnation were driving voting choices. NPR framed the race as a contest between Lula's legacy and the Bolsonaro dynasty.
How it unfolded
On October 22, BBC Brasil previewed the rules, timing and fact checking for the final debate before Sunday's runoff. The encounter offers one last televised confrontation between the candidates before voting.
The October 22 coverage also included a separate measure of public sentiment: approval of Lula's government. CNN Brasil reported Datafolha findings of 49 percent approval and 48 percent disapproval. Its summary identifies the survey as having been released on October 15, so these figures should not be treated as a new October 22 voting poll.
By October 23, the latest election polling pointed to a close contest. Bloomberg reported a tie in Thursday's Datafolha poll and, citing Valor, said Lula's campaign saw signs of gains for him and stability for Bolsonaro. La Nacion reported a different survey putting Bolsonaro at 47 percent and Lula at 46 percent.
Also on October 23, the campaigns reached their final free radio advertising slots. CNN Brasil reported that Bolsonaro's last programme featured sertanejo singers, while Lula's campaign turned to Janones.
Where it stands
The reported polls differ on the precise balance, but both describe a narrow race: one shows a tie, another a one point Bolsonaro lead. Al Jazeera reported that Lula was closing the gap on his rival. The supplied coverage does not provide enough methodological detail to make a direct comparison between those surveys.
Government approval is a different measure from voting intention. The 49 percent approval figure reported by CNN Brasil describes assessments of Lula's administration, not his share of the runoff vote. Meanwhile, The Hindu reported that courts, alongside rallies, television debates and social media, were proving instrumental in the contest.
What to watch
The immediate event is Friday's final televised debate, scheduled to begin at 21:20, according to Perfil.com. Its coverage said the candidates' first debate had been marked by corruption accusations.
Voting follows on Sunday, October 25, according to BBC Brasil. The remaining test is whether Lula's reported polling gains translate into votes, or whether Bolsonaro retains the narrow advantage shown in another survey.


